#prediction markets

The number landed like a cold splash of data on a hot geopolitical floor: 8.5...

Contrary to the euphoric belief that blockchain-based prediction markets are...

A trader I know in Lagos has been staring at Polymarket's 'US military action...

Coinbase is bringing its 'Everything Exchange' to Canada. Tokenized stocks....

England 6-4 France. The bronze medal match that no one predicted—literally. T...

Imagine a room full of traders, each betting real money on whether the sky ov...

The market doesn't lie. It just takes its time to tell the truth. On May 20,...

The ledger remembers what the code tries to hide. On a quiet Tuesday afternoo...

On July 14, 2024, a panelist on Polymarket placed a $1.2M bet that Iran would...

Hook Polymarket contract "Russia controls Sloviansk before 2027" is priced at...

A prediction market says there's a 14.5% chance the Strait of Hormuz reopens ...

Ignore the headline. Forget the politics. There is a 7.5% probability priced...

Hook A single prediction market contract on Polymarket is screaming something...

A football team conceding one goal in five World Cup matches is a statistical...

The final whistle in Sydney didn't just crown Spain’s women’s team—it trigger...

Hook On December 18, 2022, at 14:23 UTC, a wallet ending in 9f4e withdrew...

The chart spiked before the coffee cooled. At 3:47 AM HCMC time, the Polymark...

On the morning of May 12, 2026, a single data point crossed my terminal: the...

Polymarket’s market share just dropped from 35.8% to 30.2% in one quarter....

A US military strike near Shadegan, Iran has lit up prediction markets, with...

Paris, 23:00 CET. Mike Maignan picks the ball out of the net for the sixth...

Polymarket’s “Iran Airspace Closure by August 31” contract sits at 50.5% YES....

The number landed on my screen with the cold finality of a terminal output: 2...

Mapping the chaos to find the signal in the noise. A single data point. 99.9%...

State root mismatch. Trust updated. A Polymarket contract shows the probabili...

Hook A drone. A prediction market. A 55.5% probability of attack on a Gulf...

The data shows the Crypto Clarity Act's passing probability dropped from 70% ...

A prediction market on Polymarket claims there is a 99.9% probability that...

A bridge in Hormozgan province was struck. Or was it? The headline hit my...

A crypto-native news outlet publishes a straightforward prediction about a...

Beneath the baroque facade of Polymarket's interface, a quieter ledger bleeds...

Crypto Briefing drops a number: $1.5 million in volume on a prediction market...

The clock struck 14:23 UTC on a Tuesday. Coinbase's prediction market went...

The market assumes federal approval is a floor, not a ceiling. On September...

The curve bends, but the logic holds firm. On the night of Ronaldo's final...

Hook In the final 20 minutes of the Argentina-France World Cup 2022 final, th...

The code doesn't predict sentiment shifts. But the order flow does. I didn't...

At block 18,342,109 on Ethereum, the Polymarket contract for the...

The on-chain data from the past 72 hours paints a curious picture. A cluster ...

The number itself is intoxicating. $1.95 billion in open interest. Prediction...

The warning arrived without fanfare. On a Tuesday morning, the European...

Seven weeks. That’s all it took for Kalshi’s implied equity value to double...

Over the past seven days, Allium's on-chain data dropped a bomb that every...